EZR with two-pronged attack on South Australian Derby
May 10, 2018
We’ll need a mathematician to advise us of the odds of High ‘n’ Dry drawing yet another outside barrier in Saturday’s Group I South Australian Derby (2500m) at Morphettville.
Barrier draws are conducted via computer in 99 percent of races. The machine has done no favours for High ‘n’ Dry in his previous six starts and the son of High Chaparral has drawn barrier 18 of 20 acceptors in the South Australian Derby.
High ‘n’ Dry has started from the outside barrier in three of his previous six starts, barrier 13 in a 15-horse field twice and barrier 11 in a 13-horse field on one occasion.
What are the odds of shocking gates in seven consecutive draws? The chances would have to be extremely remote.
It’s no wonder High ‘n’ Dry’s co-trainer Simon Zahra is frustrated with the gelding’s luck.
“It’s amazing how a horse can have so little luck with barriers,” Zahra, who trains High ‘n’ Dry in partnership with Mathew Ellerton, said.
“It is annoying because it means we have to ride him further back than we’d like to get in and it makes it harder for him.”
High ‘n’ Dry has produced two excellent efforts at his two Adelaide runs. The three-year-old has shown he has the credentials to win the South Australian Derby with his fast-finishing third in the Listed Port Adelaide Guineas (1800m) and second in the Group III Chairman’s Handicap (2035m).
Zahra said the 2500m of the South Australian Derby would be perfect for the promising stayer.
“He relaxes really well, and he’s got the ability to quicken and make a long run,” Zahra said. “The 2500m won’t be a problem for him and his work on Tuesday morning was what we wanted to see going into a big race.”
High ‘n’ Dry has firmed from $6 to $5.50 in Sportsbet’s SA Derby market while the stable’s other runner Into Rio is a $21 chance.
Into Rio booked a shot at the SA Derby when he was too good for his opposition over 2200m on the Pakenham Synthetic track last start.
“He’ll run well,” Zahra said. “He’ll definitely run out the trip, but he just hates it if the track is wet. Hopefully it won’t rain too much over there.”
Andrew Mallyon will ride High ‘n’ Dry while Damien Thornton has the booking on Into Rio